Jumping Ship or Jumping on the Bandwagon: When Do Local Politicians Support National Candidates?

G. Rosas and A. Lucardi, “Jumping Ship or Jumping on the Bandwagon: When Do Local Politicians Support National Candidates?”, Political Science Research and Methods, forthcoming. Local politicians are often expected to mobilize voters on behalf of copartisan candidates for national office. Yet this requirement is difficult to enforce because the effort of local politicians cannot be […]

On Board with Banks: Do Banking Connections Help Politicians Win Elections?

J. Markgraf and G. Rosas, “On Board with Banks: Do Banking Connections Help Politicians Win Elections?”, Journal of Politics, forthcoming. Do politicians benefit electorally from connections to banks? Recent research illuminates how banks benefit from political connections, yet we do not know much about the impact of bank connections on a politician’s reelection chances. We consider […]

Risky Business: Where Do Presidential Campaigns Visit?

J. Langston and G. Rosas, “Risky Business: Where do Presidential Campaigns Visit?”, Electoral Studies, 55, 2018. We build on existing theories about why presidential candidates organize rallies to understand where they are likely to organize them. We conjecture that the possibility of a failed rally is an important factor driving these choices. When a candidate is […]

Is the Incumbent Curse the Incumbent’s Fault?

A. Lucardi and G. Rosas, “Is the Incumbent Curse the Incumbent’s Fault? Strategic Behavior and Negative Incumbency Effects in Young Democracies”, Electoral Studies, 44, 2016. Why are incumbents in young democracies cursed? The most convincing explanation emphasizes the role of rent-seeking on the part of politicians, which induces voters to throw them out of office before […]