G. Rosas and L. Manzetti, “Reassessing the Trade-off Hypothesis: How Misery Drives the Corruption Effect on Presidential Approval”, Electoral Studies, 39, 2015. Do economic conditions drive voters to punish politicians that tolerate corruption? Previous scholarly work contends that citizens in young democracies support corrupt governments that are capable of promoting good economic outcomes, the so-called trade-off […]
Category: Replication Materials
No News is News: Non-Ignorable Non-Response in Roll-Call Data Analysis
G. Rosas, Y. Shomer, S. Haptonstahl, “No News is News: Non-Ignorable Non-Response in Roll-Call Data Analysis”, American Journal of Political Science, 59(2), 2015. Roll-call votes are widely employed to infer the ideological proclivities of legislators. However, many roll-call matrices are characterized by high levels of non-response. Under many circumstances, non-response cannot be assumed to be ignorable. […]
Political Liabilities: Surviving Banking Crises
A. Crespo-Tenorio, N. Jensen, G. Rosas, “Political Liabilities: Surviving Banking Crises”, Comparative Political Studies, 47(7), 1047-1074. Little is known about the political repercussions of banking crises despite the extensive literature on the link between economic performance and political outcomes. We develop a theory of how clarity of responsibility affects incumbent party survival patterns in 89 democracies […]
When Do Autonomous Banking Regulators Promote Stability?
J. Jordana and G. Rosas, “When Do Autonomous Banking Regulators Promote Stability?”, European Journal of Political Research, 53(4), 2014. Can autonomous banking regulatory agencies reduce the odds that a country will suffer a crippling banking crisis? We investigate the impact that agencies charged with banking regulation and prudential supervision can have on financial stability in the […]
Los números de la guerra: ¿error de cálculo político o estadístico?
G. Rosas, “Los números de la guerra: ¿error de cálculo político o estadístico?” Blog de la redacción de Nexos, January 5, 2012. Contrary to the conclusions of analysts that resort to sophisticated “matching” techniques, these estimators do not lead to the unequivocal conclusion that military involvement increases the number of violent deaths in Mexico’s drug war, […]
Gubernatorial Effects on the Voting Behavior of National Legislators
G. Rosas and J. Langston, “Gubernatorial Effects on the Voting Behavior of National Legislators”, Journal of Politics, 73 (2), 2011. Are subnational political elites, such as governors, capable of affecting the voting behavior of national representatives even in the face of high legislative discipline? We address this question by estimating the exogenous causal effect of gubernatorial […]
Bagehot or Bailout? An Analysis of Government Responses to Banking Crises
G. Rosas, “Bagehot or Bailout? An Analysis of Government Responses to Banking Crises”, American Journal of Political Science, 50 (1), 2006. Political intervention into markets can take a nearly endless number of forms. During the latter part of the twentieth century, there was a widely shared sense that governments should decrease their role in the economy. […]