Attendance Simulation

Simulation

We turned to the survey data that we collected to look for factors that might be better predictors of attendance to Let’s Talk. We input these probabilities to Simscript as attributes of an entity and saw that attendance at the Athletic Complex was 16 per semester; at  Lopata it was 20 people per semester; at the Center for Diversity and Inclusion it was 11 people per semester; at Hillman it was 16 people per semester; at the DUC it was 58 people per semester; at the Women’s Building it was 35; and at Village House it was 12 people per semester.

These results match well with the average number of people we see actually using Let’s Talk at these locations. These results confirm the validity of our model and the assumptions we made about factors that affect attendance to a 15-minute, anonymous counseling session.

Sensitivity Analysis

The next set of analyses that we conducted involved changing university demographics by 10% each in order to see how attendance would change at certain locations.

Athletic Complex

We saw increased attendance at the AC when every metric was increased by 10% except for when the number of Engineers increased. The highest increase we saw was when the number of seniors was increased. This might tell us that seniors attend the AC the most and that engineers attend it the least, leading to those changes.

Lopata

Attendance to Lopata increased when every grade was increased by 10% except for Juniors. Attendance also decreased when every school size increased by 10% except for the Art school. This is increasing because it indicates that when art students are in need, they would be the most willing to go to Lopata. Our predication was that engineers would use this location the most, but rather than assuming that the decrease in engineers is due to decreased use of Lopata, it could be a decreased use of every Let’s Talk location if engineers have overall lower levels of crisis or A3N. It could also simply mean that engineers prefer a location other than Lopata.

Hillman

When looking at Hillman, attendance numbers decreased or stayed the same for every increase of 10% except for seniors. This indicates that seniors would contribute the most to attendance at Hillman, were it to become a location for Let’s Talk. An interesting component of this location is that the predicted attendance to this location decreased with an increased number of art students. This is most likely due to the fact that Sam Fox students are more likely to go to other locations around campus rather than Hillman.

DUC

Attendance to the DUC is predicted to increase when the proportion of juniors, seniors, Sam Fox students, Arts and Sciences students, and Business School students increased. However, when attendance to the DUC did decrease, it decreased by 3 students, at most. What this tells us is that any sort of increase in students would be reflected in the attendance to the DUC unless those students are sophomores or engineers (who we know decrease attendance at locations).

Women’s Building

At the Women’s Building, we see increased attendance only with juniors and seniors. All other population increases actually decreased attendance to the Women’s Building except for Business School Students. This is most likely due to the convenience of the Women’s Building for Business Students. The other decreases might simply indicate that other locations are more convenient than the Women’s Building for those populations.

Knowledge Sensitivity Analysis

We increased the number of people who knew about Let’s Talk from 29% to 39% and saw how this changed attendance at the various locations. For every location, the total number of people who needed Let’s Talk increased to 99 people from approximately 74 people. This shows a 34% increase in the total population who attends Let’s Talk. Aside from that, each location showed an increase in attendance, albeit to a different degree at each location. The Athletic Complex and Hillman showed only a 2 person increase in attendance although they showed the same overall growth of attendance to Let’s Talk. This shows that their attendance is almost irrelevant of knowledge but is more dependent on the attributes of the location itself and the people attending. The DUC and Women’s Building both showed an intense increase of 45% and 37% respectively. Lopata shows a modest increase of 20%. This means that if knowledge of Let’s Talk were to increase by 10%, these locations would be the ones that would be under the most stress and would need to have a reallocation of resources.