Article Publications
“Border Walls and Illicit Trade Flows.” (2023) with Bailee Donahue and Rob Williams
Forthcoming at International Studies Quarterly
“Historical Border Changes, State Building and Contemporary Trust in Europe” (2022) with Scott F Abramson and Luwei Ying
American Political Science Review 116(3): 875-895
“The Geography of Separatist Violence” (2022) with Morgan Kaplan and Ken Schultz
International Studies Quarterly 66(3): 1-14.
“The Varieties of The Varieties of Coups D’état: Introducing the Colpus Dataset.” (2021) with John Chin and Joseph Wright
International Studies Quarterly 65(4): 1040-1051.
“The Gravity of Transnational Terrorism.” (2021) with Luwei Ying
Journal of Conflict Resolution 65(4): 813-849.
“Systemic Instability and the Emergence of Border Disputes.” (2021) with Scott F Abramson
International Organization 75(1): 103-146. [Supplemental Appendix]
“Barriers to Trade: How Border Walls Affect Trade Relations.” (2020) with Paul Poast
International Organization 74(1): 165-185. [Supplemental Appendix]
“Places to Hide: Terrain, Ethnicity, and Political Violence.” (2019) with Andrew Shaver and Austin Wright
Journal of Politics 81(4): 1446-1465. [Supplemental Appendix]
“Terrorism and State Sponsorship in World Politics.” (2019) with Saurabh Pant
Chapter in Oxford Handbook on Terrorism, edited by Erica Chenoweth, Richard English, Andreas Gofas, and Stathis N. Kalyvas.
“Terrain Ruggedness and Land Use: Improved Data.” (2019) with Andrew Shaver and Tsering Shawa
Conflict Management and Peace Science 36(2): 191-218. [Supplemental Appendix]
“International Law, Territorial Disputes and Foreign Direct Investment” (2018) with Rachel Wellhausen and Paul K. Huth
International Studies Quarterly 63(1): 58-71. [Supplemental Appendix]
“International Trade and Coordination: Tracing Border Effects.” (2018) with H.E. Goemans
World Politics 70(1): 1-52.
“Why Do States Build Walls? Political Economy, Security, and Border Stability” (2017) with Paul Poast
Journal of Conflict Resolution 61(2):239-270. [Replication Files]
“History as a Double-Edged Sword: Historical Boundaries and Territorial Claims” (2017)
Politics, Philosophy & Economics 16(4): 400-421
“The Historical Origins of Territorial Disputes.” (2016) with Scott F Abramson
American Political Science Review 110(4): 675–698. [Supplemental Appendix]
“Provocation and the Strategy of Terrorist and Guerrilla Attacks” (2016)
International Organization 70(1): 133–173. [Supplemental Appendix 1, Supplemental Appendix 2]
“The Compellence Dilemma: International Disputes with Violent Groups” (2015)
International Studies Quarterly 59(3): 461–476. [Supplemental Appendix]
“Terrorism and the Fate of Dictators” (2015) with Deniz Aksoy and Joseph Wright
World Politics 67(3): 423-468. [Supplemental Appendix] [Replication Files]
“Democracy and Multilateralism: The Case of Vote Buying the UN General Assembly.” (2015) with Randall Stone
International Organization 69(1): 1-33. [Supplemental Appendix]
“When Terrorism Is Evidence of State Success: Securing the State Against Territorial Groups.” (2015)
Oxford Economic Papers 67(1): 116-132.
“Fair Weather Allies: Terrorism and the Allocation of United States Foreign Aid.” (2014) with Andrew Boutton
Journal of Conflict Resolution 58(7) (October 2014): 1144-1173.
“The Temporal Dynamics of New International Borders” (2014) with H.E. Goemans
Conflict Management and Peace Science 31(3) (July 2014): 285-302.
“Electoral Institutions and the Emergence of Terrorist Groups” (2014) with Deniz Aksoy
British Journal of Political Science 44(1) (January 2014): 181-204. [Replication Files]
“Terrorist Group and Government Interaction: Progress in Empirical Research”
Perspectives on Terrorism 6(4-5) (October 2012): 109-125.
“Terrorism in Dictatorships” (2012) with Deniz Aksoy and Joseph Wright
Journal of Politics. 74(3) (July 2012): 810-826. [Supplemental Appendix, Replication Files]
“A Blessing or a Curse? State Support for Terrorist Groups.” (2012)
International Organization. 66(1) (Winter 2012): 129-151.
“The Making of the Territorial Order: New Borders and the Emergence of Interstate Conflict.” (2011) with H.E. Goemans
International Organization. 65(2) (Spring 2011): 275-309. [Replication Files]
“The Strategy of Territorial Conflict.” (2010)
American Journal of Political Science. 54(4) (October 2010): 969-987.
“Back to the Future: Modeling Time Dependence in Binary Data.” (2010) with Curt Signorino
Political Analysis. 18(3) (Summer 2010): 271-292. (The 5th most cited paper ever published in Political Analysis. [Supplemental Appendix]
“Reply to Time is Not a Theoretical Variable.” (2010) with Curt Signorino
Political Analysis. 18(3) (Summer 2010): 295-296.
“Under the Influence? Intellectual Exchange in Political Science.” (2008) with Arthur Spirling
PS: Political Science and Politics. 41(2) (April 2008): 375-379.
Books
Historical Dictionary of Modern Coups D’etat. with John Chin and Joseph Wright
Lanham, MD: Rowman & Littlefield. 2023.
Working Papers
“Population Displacement and State-Building: The Legacies of Pashtun Resettlement in Afghanistan.” (2023) with Austin L. Wright and Luwei Ying
Under review
“Historical Border Changes and Contemporary Public Health Outcomes.” (2023) with Matthew Gabel and Alma Velazquez
Under review
“Strike When They’re Not Looking: Systemic Instability and Challenges to Rule.” (2023) with Ipek Ece Sener
Under review
“How Does State Presence Affect Trust in Hard to Reach Places?” (2023) with Rex Deng
“Historical Border Volatility and Contemporary Populism.” (2023) with Luwei Ying
“Empire of Equality? Contemporary Views on Gender and Minority Rights Along Hapsburg Frontiers.” (2023) with Alex Avery
“How the Origins of Territorial Claims Affect the Prospects for Violence or Peace.” (2023) with Masanori Kikuchi
“Good Times, Bad Times: Left-Censoring in Grouped Duration Data.” (2019) with Curt Signorino and Luwei Ying
Work In Progress
Book Project: The Geography of Coordination: Natural Boundaries, Historical Boundaries and the Territorial State.
“Trust in Public Health: A Scoping Review.” (2023) with Jimin Ding, Aubrey Fisher, Matthew Gabel, Mark Huffman, Peter Kalulu, and Grace Whittier.
Measuring Trust as a Belief in Reciprocity: An Experimental Approach in Mali.” (2023) with Scott Abramson, Korhan Kocak, William Nomikos and Sarah Warren.
“Polarized Media and the Erosion of the Democratic Advantage: The Case of Audience Costs.” (2023) with Taylor N. Carlson